Skip to main content

Assumptions in planning your investment and finances

Often one is sold (or at least made an attempt to!) products/ schemes/ investments which seem great, and sometimes too good to be true. But these great things are usually built upon some assumptions, some seemingly credible, some seemingly shady. But are all these premises true or there is more to it than what meets eye?

Few instances -

- An insurance/ ULIP agent selling us policy which gives x % returns (but assures nothing, so you may be exposed to more risk than what you think)
- SIP returns calculator letting you calculate based upon "assumed" 15% rate of returns (reality can be different on either side - so, be aware of both scenarios unless you are an incorrigible optimist!)
- Bank FDs giving assured rate of returns, assume that banks will be able to return money (or the government, partly, if the bank goes bust!)
- Assumption that real estate will grow @ x% and give "assured returns"? Or your will earn rent equivalent of EMI (don't understand how!)
- Retirement planning & corpus needed work upon assumption of you needing X amount per month & a buffer of Y amount and assuming a lifespan of Z years.
- Assumption that debt fund always give more than FD returns! (they also have bad years!)

Few of the above seem quite obvious.  Few may not be so. 

Is it time you need to rethink about any of these assumptions? Or more of similar assumptions?

Maybe, if we do, we can plan out things a bit more differently. 

______________________________________________________
As we talk about assumptions, sharing one of my facvourite quotes about importance of checking your assumptions/ premises

"Contradictions do not exist. Whenever you think you are facing a contradiction, check your premises. You will find that one of them is wrong." 
- Ayn Rand (Atlas Shrugged)

___

You can also read this on BeingFinWise

Comments

Shop @ Amazon

Popular posts from this blog

Assured returns from stock markets?

Stocks (and hence mutual funds) are often sold as something that give "assured" long term returns over a period of time. While this has been true for most of the times, and all time if we consider a long enough time horizon in India's recent history but is this always true? Can it be possible that stock markets can give lesser, say 10% returns over next 10 years? Or 5 percent annual returns? Or, taking inspiration from Nicholas Taleb, a black swan event happens and your end up barely recovering 80 percent of your principal amount (i.e. 20 percent loss) -   Theoretically yes.  Hopefully no.  I am not a predictor of future, nor are thousands others who claim to have more than 1000% percent surety of future events. So, if you are contemplating taking a personal loan @ 12% for some financial need and want to be invested in a mutual fund for "assured" 12 / 15/ 18/ 25 percent returns, maybe you need to rethink. If you want to borrow money @ 12% just to inv...

Saving & investing money versus living life king size

Should you save money or should you live life king size and enjoy your life - is one of the perennial question about people who are interested in doing a bit of financial planning. (Of course, the question doesn't arise if you don't do financial planning at all - you'll, in all probability chose the latter). Taking a step back, one needs to understand what is meant by "living life king size" in the above? Rather than going into an attempt to give a standard definition, I'll try to pose scenarios - Do you always want the latest model of iPhone? And the iPad? And you are willing to consider buying an Apple Watch also? Your car needs an upgrade every few years? From an Alto to i10 to Honda City to (hopefully!) CRV in few years. For you affordability of things means easy access to EMIs? You want to keep upgrading something or the other in your house every few months - One year it may be the cupboards, the other year it may be the sofas, and the next year...

What's the purpose of investing?

"Investment" - This word is much used and often much abused one. One keeps on hearing this almost all the time be it in office or catching up with friends or attending a family functions - almost everywhere. More so when we are fed with lot of information about how one needs to make money work to get more money. However, for a lot of people, the clarity on one question is often lacking - What is the purpose of investing? And even if one knows his/ her purpose of investing, it is often not implemented in real life. For instance, purpose of one's investments may be having sufficient funds in times of need. Yet they may opt for a personal loan when faced with pressing need for money. Based upon my observations, below are some of the most common purpose of investments (in no particular order) I invest because there is some sufficient funds lying with me and I can get great returns. I am investing for some specific goal - buying a house, education of kids, m...

The story behind credit card debts & personal loans

Any one with even an iota of interest in personal finance & its workings would probably know that credit card debts and personal loans are usually the worst kinds of debt traps that you can fall into. Yet many people fall into that trap again and again. Many people do come out of it eventually but some don't & this becomes a part of their "lifestyle". That you are eventually paying much more than you need to, if you default on credit card payments intentionally or unintentionally (probably @ 36 % per annum or something similar) or take a personal loan (say, @ 12% per annum or so) is not hard to fathom. However behind these numbers, there may be even a deeper story - that usually that of not having control over expenses or not having created a buffer amount. While there may be some pressing need like unplanned or recurring medical expenses which fuels sudden demand of money or an unexpected job loss, in many other cases this need may be fueled by lack of plani...

Financial tips for a 25 year old

Originally published at  BeingfinWise __ If you are 25 year old, there is a good likelihood that you would have started working or are likely to start soon. And hopefully start(ed) managing your own finances. So, what do you do next? The good news is that having a profession can soon lead to cash flows which perhaps wouldn't have seen in your student days. And that can be empowering in many ways. The bad news is that, if you are reckless with spending money, it can soon lead to a downward financial spiral. Managing your finances well can be a good first step towards a healthy financial life. And it starts with small steps.